By Douglas Okwatch
Beyond the travesty the International Criminal Court has committed against us as Kenyans and as an African people lies the opportunity for reflection.
Perhaps a good starting point is to acknowledge that in our self-induced, mutual fear of the court, we have had at least one violence-free election since six of our political leaders and public servants were hauled before the Hague-based court.
Our primordial election time instinct to arm ourselves with machetes and butcher each other on behalf of our tribal chieftains was pretty much subdued in 2013. Instead we retreated to the safer and more anonymous platform of social media, where we waged the bloodletting away from our streets and villages.
Peace in the Rift valley has generally held.
While for many Kenyans the short encounter with international criminal justice has been like a Frankenstein experiment, the deterrent effect the ICC cases have had on our volatile politics deserves giving some thought.
Deterrence is a central tenet to the Rome Statute. Indeed in its preamble the Statute signposts deterrence as a goal, on par with ending impunity, by putting on notice perpetrators of grave crimes that threaten the peace, security and well-being of humanity.
There exist two arguments for the peace that prevailed before, during and after the hotly contested 2013 presidential elections. One of these derives from the ICC’s supposed deterrent effect, which put the fear of God into our political hotheads and their machete wielding tribal gangs.
The other is the promulgation of a new Constitution in 2010, which ushered in a new (some are now calling it false) dawn in the management of our public affairs. This school of thought contends that the reforms in the top echelons of our justice system and electoral machinery had instilled some confidence in our top political parties and minimised the prospects for violence.
As we may all be aware by now, for the losing side in the 2013 presidential race, this confidence in the justice and electoral system was only up to the point the verdict on the contested election was delivered by the Supreme Court.
That there was no violent reaction to this outcome, in spite of the palpable tension that built up ahead of the ruling, may again be attributable to some deterrent factor probably traceable to the ongoing cases at the ICC.
Deterrence proponents like Justice Philippe Kirsch Justice Philippe, the first president of the ICC and founding father of the court, together with Christine Chang, the first senior trial attorney to work in the Office of the Prosecutor, share the view that deterrence is the most important goal of the ICC.
Kirsch posits that by putting potential perpetrators on notice that they may be tried before the Court, the ICC is intended to contribute to the deterrence of these crimes.
ICC’s intervention in Uganda has been repeatedly cited in pushing this deterrence agenda.
Uganda in 2003 wrote to the Hague-based Court asking it to address atrocities committed on its territory by the Lord’s Resistance Army. The LRA had been fighting Uganda’s military since 1987 and had perpetrated mass killing, looting, abduction, and other forms of violence against civilians.
In mid-2005, the ICC issued arrest warrants for Joseph Kony, the LRA leader, and four of his commanders. However, the ICC has been unable to execute the arrest warrants for Kony and his warlords.
Kony remains at large, supposedly roaming the expansive forests of Central Africa Republic and the Democratic Republic of Congo, according to accounts, while some of his co-accused rank-and-file are thought to have died.
Deterrence adherents like the International Crisis Group quickly point to the peace deal and subsequent sustained peace in hitherto war-torn northern Uganda, attributing this to the ICC arrest warrants against Kony and his ilk. Additionally, the warrants, in ICG’s considered view, have served to warn other potential perpetrators of similar crimes in northern Uganda that ‘Big brother is watching’.
But anti-ICC crusaders like my friend Dr. David Hoile, author of The ICC: Europe’s Guantanamo Bay? strongly disagree with the deterrence thesis. He calls it a lie and that it doesn’t work, citing distinguished Columbian human rights lawyer Gustavo Gallon, who argued long before the court was established that deterrence can be a dangerous illusion if it leads us to assume that no more violations will be committed after the actual establishment of an international criminal court.
No legal system, Gallon posits, can ensure the elimination of criminal activity.
The big question now is: So just where does that leave us?
With only two of the original sic cases remaining at the ICC with quite a reasonable possibility that they could also not yield any convictions our future lies with truth and reconciliation. The case has been made that amnesties and truth commissions is the way to go.
We all know how post-apartheid South Africa’s truth, justice and reconciliation commission brought together a once deeply divided nation.
I firmly believe that Kenya can succeed with a real truth, justice and reconciliation commission, whose primary purpose is to address and resolve our so called historical injustices without trying to shield perpetrators of these alleged injustices from bearing criminal responsibility for their actions. That’s where we have failed, and that’s where we should begin building our future as a nation. Rwanda did it, we also can.